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Scorecard leaderboard

Accounts ranked by the points their calls have earned. A call is scored on how close it was on the date it came due — not on whether it went the right way — so a target set far too low costs points even when the price sails past it.

	Account	Points	Calls	Win rate
1	CRWVorBust	+2	3	—

Where the record stands

Members have made 3 calls on this site from 1 account: 3 bullish and 0 bearish. The earliest was made on Aug 5, 2026.

Between them those calls carry 3 targets: 3 open and 0 settled. None has reached its date yet, so nobody on this board has a win rate. The ordering is by points accrued so far, and those are small early in a call's life because each day is weighted toward the judgment date.

The next open target comes due on Aug 5, 2027 and the furthest out on Sep 11, 2027.

How calls are scored

A call is a price target with a direction and a date. When it is made, its terms — bullish or bearish, the price at that moment, the target and the horizon (six months to ten years) — are frozen and cannot be edited afterwards, which is what lets the result mean something.

Two numbers come out of every call, and this table shows both:

Win rate is the share of settled targets whose close on the judgment date met the target: at or above it for a bullish call, at or below it for a bearish one. It is the same test the analyst accuracy table applies to research firms' published targets, from the same code. Open targets are not scored and count toward nothing; an account with nothing settled shows a dash rather than 0%, because a rate over no calls is unknown, not zero.
Points are the ranking. Each trading day a price call earns or loses points by how close the price sits to the target, from either side: within 5% earns at three times the base rate, within 10% at the base rate, within 16% earns nothing, and beyond that the call loses points at a rate that grows with the distance. Each day is weighted from nothing on the day the call is made to full weight on its judgment date. A call on a company metric — EPS, revenue or market cap — has no daily price series to accrue over, so its points are awarded once, at settlement.

The two answer different questions. Win rate asks whether the call was right; points ask how close it was when it mattered. A target set far too low still counts as a hit once the price sails past it, but it bleeds points, because a reader who acted on it was told to expect much less than happened.

Settlement records one more thing for a price target: whether it was reached at any point before its date, even if the price gave it back. That is the "ever reached" figure on the analyst pages. The win rate does not use it, because the target had a date on it.

A target settles on the last close at or before its date, so a weekend or holiday does not stall it. If that close is more than 10 days old, the target waits for a later pass instead of being judged on a stale price: a verdict is written once and never revised, so late is better than wrong.

Unlike the analyst table, this board does not wait for a minimum number of settled targets before ranking, because it is ordered by points rather than by win rate. A win rate on a handful of calls is still an anecdote rather than a measurement, which is why the count it came from is printed beside it.

Points are weighted toward each call's judgment date, so a call cannot bank a score by being briefly right a year out. Withdrawn calls still count: stepping away from a call does not remove it from the record, or the record would be whatever its author chose to keep. Calls removed by a moderator are excluded entirely.