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DalsnaFinance › Scorecards › Analyst accuracy

Analyst price target accuracy

Research firms publish price targets; almost nobody goes back and checks them. These are targets we extracted from published news, tracked to the date each one was set for, and judged on the close that day — the same test a member's call gets, from the same code.

No firm has 10 settled targets yet, so nothing is ranked. The records below are shown as they stand.

Hit rate is the share of settled targets whose close on the judgment date met the target. Ever reached is the share that touched the target at any point beforehand, even if they gave it back — a fairer question to a firm whose timing was off rather than its direction, which is why it is shown and why it is not what the ranking uses: the target had a date on it. Open targets are not scored at all and count toward nothing here.

A record needs 10 settled targets to be ranked. Ten is not a statistically comfortable sample and is not pretending to be — the interval around a rate measured on ten trials is wide, which is why every figure on this page is shown with the count it came from. Read the ordering as a record, not a verdict on which firm is better.

Targets are extracted from publicly reported news and each one links to its source on the relevant company page. They are reported here as facts about what was published, are not recommendations from Dalsna Finance, and no firm listed is affiliated with this site. Where a target turns out to have been misreported by us, the entry is retracted and stops counting, but it is not deleted.