96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

Politics The Hill By Suryatapa Chakraborty 03 Nov 2026 14:09 1 min read
96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

Recently updated election models from Harvard University forecast a strong chance of Democrats winning a majority of seats in the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The chances of Democrats taking the House is as good as 96 percent, the Harvard model forecasts. According to the model, the chances of Republicans winning the...

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